🧾 Sean 'Diddy' Combs Trial: Credibility & Verdict Trend AnalysisAuthor: Cassian CreedDate: June 2, 2025

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Factor	May 30 Credibility	June 2 Credibility	Change	Interpretation
Mia Testimony Credibility	68%	70%	🔼 +2	Slight increase due to consistent emotional testimony and clarification of post-employment communications.
Cassie Testimony Credibility	72%	72%	⏺️ 0	Remains stable; her detailed accounts continue to support prosecution's narrative.
Kid Cudi Testimony Credibility	65%	67%	🔼 +2	Credibility bolstered by corroborating arson investigator's testimony regarding the firebombing incident.
Defense Strategy Credibility	45%	42%	🔽 -3	Slight decline due to aggressive cross-examination tactics perceived as harassing by the prosecution.
Racketeering Evidence Credibility	60%	62%	🔼 +2	Incremental increase as additional testimonies suggest a pattern of organized illegal activity.
Sex Trafficking Evidence Credibility	58%	58%	⏺️ 0	No significant change; evidence remains substantial but not yet conclusive.
Witness Tampering Allegations Credibility	50%	50%	⏺️ 0	No new developments; allegations remain unsubstantiated at this time.
Prosecution Overall Credibility	65%	66%	🔼 +1	Minor increase due to consistent witness testimonies and supporting evidence.
Defense Overall Credibility	55%	53%	🔽 -2	Slight decrease as defense's approach faces criticism for potentially deterring future victims from testifying.

Verdict Outcome	May 30 Probability	June 2 Probability	Change	Interpretation
Full Conviction	40%	42%	🔼 +2	Slight increase as prosecution strengthens its case with consistent testimonies and supporting evidence.
Hung Jury	35%	35%	⏺️ 0	No change; remains a significant possibility due to the complexity of the case and public interest factors.
Partial Acquittal	20%	18%	🔽 -2	Minor decrease as the defense's credibility faces challenges.
Full Acquittal	5%	5%	⏺️ 0	Unchanged; remains unlikely given the weight of the allegations and evidence presented.

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